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TPL

SELL

Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Energy · Rank #243 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$350.92

Current Price

$31.52

Intrinsic Value

-91.0%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score2.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 91.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$26.05
Base (IV)$31.52
High$86.06

Entry Points

Conservative$18.24
Moderate$26.05
Aggressive$22.06

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity36.6% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 1 → 1.0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 62.8%, margin Δ-302.4% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength4.0/5 → 1.0/1.0
Profit Margins60.3% → 1.0/1.0
commodity_capcapped 5.0→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.