TPL

SELL

Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Energy · Rank #228 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$397.82

Current Price

$31.32

Intrinsic Value

-92.1%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 92.1%

Fair Value Range

Low$25.89

Base (IV)$31.32

High$85.65

Entry Points

Conservative$18.13

Moderate$25.89

Aggressive$21.92

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity36.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 1 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 62.8%, margin Δ-302.4% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength4.0/5 → 1.0/1.0

Profit Margins60.0% → 1.0/1.0

commodity_capcapped 5.0→2.5 (price-taker, no durable moat)

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.