TSCO

SELL

Tractor Supply Company

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #400 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$33.16

Current Price

$16.10

Intrinsic Value

-51.4%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 51.4%

Fair Value Range

Low$3.35

Base (IV)$16.10

High$27.79

Entry Points

Conservative$2.35

Moderate$3.35

Aggressive$11.27

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity39.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 249 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 4.0%, margin Δ+0.4% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins6.4% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.