TSCO

SELL

Tractor Supply Company

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #360 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$45.01

Current Price

$13.48

Intrinsic Value

-48.5%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 48.5%

Fair Value Range

Low$3.93

Base (IV)$13.48

High$23.20

Entry Points

Conservative$3.93

Moderate$8.71

Aggressive$13.48

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity45.2% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 230 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 4.0%, margin Δ+0.4% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins7.1% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.