TSCO

SELL

Tractor Supply Company

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #376 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$30.43

Current Price

$18.15

Intrinsic Value

-40.4%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 40.4%

Fair Value Range

Low$3.33

Base (IV)$18.15

High$28.94

Entry Points

Conservative$2.33

Moderate$3.33

Aggressive$12.70

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity45.5% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 255 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 4.0%, margin Δ+0.4% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins6.9% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.