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Archived project. The S&P 500 StockPicker is a snapshot from October 18, 2026 and is no longer updated. See how it was built
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TSLA

SELL

Tesla, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #409 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$354.72

Current Price

$17.67

Intrinsic Value

-95.0%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree
Quality Score1.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 95.0%

Fair Value Range

Low$15.24
Base (IV)$17.67
High$19.31

Entry Points

Conservative$10.67
Moderate$15.24
Aggressive$12.37

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity4.7% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 18 → 1.0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth -3.1%, margin Δ+0.2% +recovery → 0.5/1.0
Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins3.7% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.