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TSN

VALUE TRAP?

Tyson Foods, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Rank #140 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$54.90

Current Price

$120.02

Intrinsic Value

+118.6%

Upside/Downside

3.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree
Quality Score1.5/5.0
Framework RatingVALUE TRAP?
Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 118.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$8.90
Base (IV)$120.02
High$174.98

Entry Points

Conservative$6.23
Moderate$8.90
Aggressive$84.02

⚠️ Warnings

  • Cheap (+119%) but low quality (1.5/5) — possible value trap; cheapness may be deserved

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity3.3% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 44 → 0.5/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 2.4%, margin Δ-0.3% +recovery → 1.0/1.0
Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins1.0% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.