TTD

SELL

The Trade Desk, Inc.

Communication Services · Rank #96 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$19.53

Current Price

$12.99

Intrinsic Value

low confidence

Upside/Downside

4/10

Score

4/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree

Quality Score4/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueLow confidence — see rating

Fair Value Range

Low$4.62

Base (IV)$12.99

High$33.59

Entry Points

Conservative$3.23

Moderate$4.62

Aggressive$9.10

⚠️ Warnings

DCF/EPV diverge 4.5x — earnings power and cash flow disagree; fair value is low-confidence (blended conservatively)

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity16.7% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 17 → 1.0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 31.2%, margin Δ-50.1% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength3.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins14.6% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.