ULTA

SELL

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #181 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$553.36

Current Price

$406.25

Intrinsic Value

+1.3%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 1.3%

Fair Value Range

Low$51.28

Base (IV)$406.25

High$560.50

Entry Points

Conservative$51.28

Moderate$228.77

Aggressive$406.25

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity43.6% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 78 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 9.3%, margin Δ+0.7% → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins9.3% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.