ULTA

SELL

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #219 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$592.94

Current Price

$420.62

Intrinsic Value

-29.1%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 29.1%

Fair Value Range

Low$44.41

Base (IV)$420.62

High$546.33

Entry Points

Conservative$31.09

Moderate$44.41

Aggressive$294.43

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity46.1% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 95 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 9.3%, margin Δ+0.7% → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins9.3% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.