ULTA

HOLD

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Rank #69 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$469.20

Current Price

$460.22

Intrinsic Value

-1.9%

Upside/Downside

4.9/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingHOLD

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 1.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$44.17

Base (IV)$460.22

High$618.83

Entry Points

Conservative$30.92

Moderate$44.17

Aggressive$322.15

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity47.4% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 89 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 9.3%, margin Δ+0.0% → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins9.4% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.