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UNP

SELL

Union Pacific Corporation

Industrials · Rank #212 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$251.14

Current Price

$93.15

Intrinsic Value

-48.6%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree
Quality Score2.5/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 48.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$24.88
Base (IV)$93.15
High$129.11

Entry Points

Conservative$24.88
Moderate$59.02
Aggressive$93.15

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity40.4% → 1.0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 178 → 0/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth 0.6%, margin Δ+0.9% → 0/1.0
Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0
Profit Margins29.1% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.