UNP

SELL

Union Pacific Corporation

Industrials · Rank #256 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$289.04

Current Price

$88.35

Intrinsic Value

-69.4%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 69.4%

Fair Value Range

Low$23.86

Base (IV)$88.35

High$115.02

Entry Points

Conservative$16.71

Moderate$23.86

Aggressive$61.85

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity39.7% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 151 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 0.6%, margin Δ+0.9% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength3.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins28.8% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.