UNP

SELL

Union Pacific Corporation

Industrials · Rank #252 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026 (cached)

$282.25

Current Price

$83.02

Intrinsic Value

-70.6%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 70.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$23.88

Base (IV)$83.02

High$114.34

Entry Points

Conservative$16.72

Moderate$23.88

Aggressive$58.12

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity40.7% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 162 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 0.6%, margin Δ+0.9% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins29.2% → 1.0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.