UPS

SELL

United Parcel Service, Inc.

Industrials · Rank #425 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$106.44

Current Price

$61.50

Intrinsic Value

-28.8%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 28.8%

Fair Value Range

Low$17.44

Base (IV)$61.50

High$75.79

Entry Points

Conservative$17.44

Moderate$39.47

Aggressive$61.50

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity33.8% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 176 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -2.8%, margin Δ+0.2% → 0/1.0

Moat Strength2.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins6.3% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.