UPS

SELL

United Parcel Service, Inc.

Industrials · Rank #300 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$97.48

Current Price

$60.57

Intrinsic Value

-37.9%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 37.9%

Fair Value Range

Low$6.83

Base (IV)$60.57

High$91.67

Entry Points

Conservative$4.78

Moderate$6.83

Aggressive$42.40

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity29.6% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 190 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -2.8%, margin Δ+0.2% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength2.5/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins5.1% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.