UPS

SELL

United Parcel Service, Inc.

Industrials · Rank #412 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$112.47

Current Price

$63.40

Intrinsic Value

-43.6%

Upside/Downside

1.5/10

Score

1.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score1.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 43.6%

Fair Value Range

Low$6.85

Base (IV)$63.40

High$92.84

Entry Points

Conservative$4.80

Moderate$6.85

Aggressive$44.38

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity33.4% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 182 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -2.8%, margin Δ+0.2% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins5.9% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.