VLO

SELL

Valero Energy Corporation

Energy · Rank #224 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$444.71

Current Price

$359.15

Intrinsic Value

-19.2%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 19.2%

Fair Value Range

Low$72.86

Base (IV)$359.15

High$427.21

Entry Points

Conservative$51.00

Moderate$72.86

Aggressive$251.40

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity27.6% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 40 → 0.5/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth -6.2%, margin Δ+0.8% +recovery → 0.5/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins5.4% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.