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VLO

SELL

Valero Energy Corporation

Energy · Rank #473 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$223.65

Current Price

$356.92

Intrinsic Value

+120.7%

Upside/Downside

1/10

Score

1/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus1/3 methods agree
Quality Score1/5.0
Framework RatingSELL
Price vs Intrinsic ValueUndervalued by 120.7%

Fair Value Range

Low$71.19
Base (IV)$356.92
High$493.49

Entry Points

Conservative$71.19
Moderate$214.06
Aggressive$356.92

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity8.3% → 0/1.0
Debt LevelD/E 44 → 0.5/1.0
Revenue QualityGrowth -6.2%, margin Δ+0.8% +recovery → 0.5/1.0
Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0
Profit Margins2.0% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.