VST

SELL

Vistra Corp.

Utilities · Rank #270 · Analyzed Oct 18, 2026

$152.02

Current Price

$33.02

Intrinsic Value

-78.3%

Upside/Downside

2.5/10

Score

2.5/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score2.5/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 78.3%

Fair Value Range

Low$16.51

Base (IV)$33.02

High$42.93

Entry Points

Conservative$11.56

Moderate$16.51

Aggressive$23.11

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity43.0% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 373 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 22.8%, margin Δ-31.1% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.0/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins11.6% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.