VST

SELL

Vistra Corp.

Utilities · Rank #216 · Analyzed Jul 13, 2026

$158.86

Current Price

$33.19

Intrinsic Value

-79.1%

Upside/Downside

3/10

Score

3/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/2 methods agree

Quality Score3/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 79.1%

Fair Value Range

Low$16.60

Base (IV)$33.19

High$43.15

Entry Points

Conservative$11.62

Moderate$16.60

Aggressive$23.23

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity42.9% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 355 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 22.8%, margin Δ-31.1% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength3.0/5 → 0.5/1.0

Profit Margins11.5% → 0.5/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods, Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation, with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.