VST

SELL

Vistra Corp.

Utilities · Rank #341 · Analyzed Apr 20, 2026

$163.46

Current Price

$82.48

Intrinsic Value

-34.4%

Upside/Downside

2/10

Score

2/5

Quality

Analysis Summary

Valuation Consensus0/3 methods agree

Quality Score2/5.0

Framework RatingSELL

Price vs Intrinsic ValueOvervalued by 34.4%

Fair Value Range

Low$12.08

Base (IV)$82.48

High$107.23

Entry Points

Conservative$12.08

Moderate$47.28

Aggressive$82.48

Quality & Moat Breakdown

Return on Equity17.7% → 1.0/1.0

Debt LevelD/E 400 → 0/1.0

Revenue QualityGrowth 22.8%, margin Δ-31.1% +recovery → 1.0/1.0

Moat Strength1.5/5 → 0/1.0

Profit Margins5.3% → 0/1.0

Methodology

This analysis uses a unified valuation framework combining three methods — Discounted Cash Flow (3-scenario), Earnings Power Value, and Asset Valuation — with a quality scoring overlay. A stock needs 2/3 valuation methods to agree and a quality score ≥ 3.5/5 for a BUY rating.

Learn how this framework works →

This is a personal analysis tool, not financial advice. Do your own research before making investment decisions.